Baroka 4-2 Black Leopards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.0pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Leopards FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -16%
1.92/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.22
+62% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Black Leopards FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.12 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
202 Passes 406
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Baroka Baroka 4-0 HT 0-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAF1
02.04.2023 Baroka Baroka 1-0 HT 0-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAF1
20.02.2021 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 0-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAFPSL
27.10.2020 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Baroka Baroka GAFPSL
14.03.2020 Baroka Baroka 1-0 HT 0-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAF8K
07.03.2020 Baroka Baroka 2-0 HT 1-0 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
4-2
AWAY Black Leopards FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Black Leopards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka saw off Black Leopards FC 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baroka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Baroka had 46% of the ball to Black Leopards FC's 54%, shots finished 18-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Baroka and 0.33 for Black Leopards FC.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Black Leopards FC?

Baroka 4-2 Black Leopards FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Black Leopards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baroka 46%, draw 27%, Black Leopards FC 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baroka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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