PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Dec 2024

PEC Zwolle
0-1 HT 0-1
Willem II
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PEC Zwolle vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
13%
8.15
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.56
2/X
10%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.52/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.44
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.0 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

PEC Zwolle vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Willem II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
392 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.03.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-3 HT 1-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
09.09.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-2 HT 2-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
14.01.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
28.08.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
22.01.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
24.10.2020 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL

PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
0-1
AWAY Willem II
1.56 xG 0.61
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
605 Passes 190
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II edged past PEC Zwolle 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was PEC Zwolle at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 72% of the ball to Willem II's 28%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.56 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured PEC Zwolle.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.00 for Willem II.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?

PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 44%, draw 28%, Willem II 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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