Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.7
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.5pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
1.37/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
+29% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Havadar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
15.02.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
10.08.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.02.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
20.02.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRANK
10.09.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
12.03.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-1 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan and Havadar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.33 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar?

Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Havadar in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havadar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 35%, draw 26%, Havadar 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Havadar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havadar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
13 Dec 2024
15:00 Shams Azar Qazvin vs Foolad Khuzestan Analysis →
16:45 Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad Analysis →