Al Arabi 2-1 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 13 Dec 2024

Al Arabi
2-1 HT 2-0
Umm Salal
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup – 2025/2026

Al Arabi vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
11%
7.63
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
12%
5.3
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.61
2/X
11%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Arabi v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 52%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.98/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.33
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
267 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.0 Crosses 7.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Al Arabi vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 1.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
429 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-3 HT 0-3 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
17.04.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
06.01.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 4-4 HT 3-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
18.11.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
27.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
03.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi nicked a narrow win over Umm Salal 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Umm Salal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Arabi and 1.67 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Umm Salal?

Al Arabi 2-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 28%, draw 28%, Umm Salal 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umm Salal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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