Kortrijk 1-0 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
69%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.6pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 15%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.55/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.15
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.1 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
4W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.49 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
299 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 3-2 HT 2-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
31.07.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
17.12.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-2 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
24.07.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-0 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-0
AWAY RFC Seraing
3.45 xG 0.19
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
413 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk edged past RFC Seraing 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kortrijk had 57% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 43%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 3.45 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kortrijk's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kortrijk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kortrijk and 0.50 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs RFC Seraing?

Kortrijk 1-0 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 69%, draw 18%, RFC Seraing 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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