Saint-Etienne 2-2 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Dec 2025

Saint-Etienne
2 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Bastia
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Saint-Etienne vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.35
2-3
47%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.42
6+
5%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
2.04
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.35
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
6%
10.8
X/X
14%
5.38
2/1
3%
23.55
2/2
9%
8.99
2/X
4%
17.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Saint-Etienne v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Saint-Etienne The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia The Market 21%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Saint-Etienne vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bastia
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
396 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-4 HT 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
19.12.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 2-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
31.01.2023 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
30.08.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 5-0 HT 4-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
04.03.2017 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
18.09.2016 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1

Saint-Etienne 2-2 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
2 - 2
AWAY Bastia
2.56 xG 0.79
77% Ball Possession 23%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
615 Passes 127
89% Pass Accuracy 62%
39 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Saint-Etienne vs Bastia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Saint-Etienne and Bastia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Saint-Etienne carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, possession split 77% to 23% in Saint-Etienne's favour, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.56 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Saint-Etienne against 0.67 for Bastia.

Saint-Etienne vs Bastia Result & Final Score

Saint-Etienne 2 - 2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Saint-Etienne vs Bastia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 61%, draw 23%, Bastia 16%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ BTTS No
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