Alanya Kestelspor 1-2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 50%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.76/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.00
-35% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.12.2022 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
1-2
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alanya Kestelspor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor nicked a narrow win over Alanya Kestelspor 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alanya Kestelspor had 58% of the ball to Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor's 42%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Alanya Kestelspor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Alanya Kestelspor 1-2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanya Kestelspor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alanya Kestelspor 27%, draw 32%, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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