Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.61
2-3 Goals
48%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
7%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 22% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
18%
+11.1pp
55%
Away Win
71%
-15.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 75%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.43/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.67
+8% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +58%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
202 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 541 · 88%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.7
13.0 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 2.99
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
186 Passes 577
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 52
6 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
2-2
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.78 xG 0.97
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
212 Passes 636
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Bnei Raina and Maccabi Tel Aviv shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Maccabi Tel Aviv carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 28% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 72%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.78 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 16%, draw 29%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 55%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Under 2.5
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