Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-0 Pontisola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
48%
4-5
22%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Ciserano Bergamo The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontisola The Market 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pontisola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
17.09.2023 Pontisola 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo İTD
POST-MATCH Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Pontisola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo beat Pontisola 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Virtus Ciserano Bergamo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Pontisola?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-0 Pontisola in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Pontisola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 47%, draw 29%, Pontisola 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Ciserano Bergamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Ciserano Bergamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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