Como (K) 0-1 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
36%
+10.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
38%
-9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.5pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
07.10.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
0-1
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.94 xG 0.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
372 Passes 200
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) squeezed past Como (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Como (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Como (K) had 63% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 37%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.94 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Como (K) 0-1 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 47%, draw 26%, Sampdoria (K) 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Como (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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