Inter Milano (K) 0-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-2% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
0-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.01 xG 0.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
322 Passes 269
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
33 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) edged past Inter Milano (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Milano (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 53% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 47%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.41 — on chances, Inter Milano (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 0-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 44%, draw 27%, Sassuolo (K) 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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