Mönchengladbach 3-1 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.21
1/2
6%
21.75
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
7.72
X/2
11%
4.57
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.51
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · X/1 at 7.72 — our 15% vs market 9.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-11.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.75/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.98
+35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
14.8 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
444 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.11.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
05.03.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-2 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
16.10.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
15.05.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
03.02.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-2 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
3-1
AWAY Stuttgart
1.92 xG 0.89
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
253 Passes 758
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 28
3 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach saw off Stuttgart 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Mönchengladbach made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 29% of the ball to Stuttgart's 71%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.92 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.67 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart?

Mönchengladbach 3-1 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 39%, draw 24%, Stuttgart 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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