Western United (K) 0-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
0-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.37 xG 0.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
336 Passes 381
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) edged past Western United (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Western United (K) had 49% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.37 to 0.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Western United (K).

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Western United (K) 0-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 33%, draw 24%, Sydney (K) 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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