Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2-2 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
71%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
4.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
8.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
8%
+3.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
71%
Away Win
77%
-5.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittifaq Maqaba EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 81%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
169 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittifaq Maqaba and Khalidiya shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Khalidiya at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Khalidiya?

Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2-2 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al Ittifaq Maqaba 11%, draw 18%, Khalidiya 71%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Khalidiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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