Nautico 2-0 Salgueiro AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Pernambucano 1, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nautico The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Salgueiro AC The Market 36%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nautico
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Salgueiro AC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2023 Nautico Nautico 1-1 HT 1-0 Salgueiro AC Salgueiro AC BRPR
12.03.2023 Nautico Nautico 2-0 HT 1-0 Salgueiro AC Salgueiro AC BRPER1
03.03.2022 Nautico Nautico 1-0 HT 1-0 Salgueiro AC Salgueiro AC BRPER1
08.04.2021 Salgueiro AC Salgueiro AC 2-3 HT 0-2 Nautico Nautico BRPER1
17.09.2011 Nautico Nautico 1-0 HT 0-0 Salgueiro AC Salgueiro AC BR2
15.06.2011 Salgueiro AC Salgueiro AC 0-2 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nautico
2-0
AWAY Salgueiro AC
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Nautico vs Salgueiro AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nautico saw off Salgueiro AC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nautico found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nautico had 54% of the ball to Salgueiro AC's 46%, shots finished 14-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nautico had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nautico and 0.50 for Salgueiro AC.

What was the final score of Nautico vs Salgueiro AC?

Nautico 2-0 Salgueiro AC in the Brazil - Pernambucano 1 on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nautico vs Salgueiro AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salgueiro AC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nautico 37%, draw 24%, Salgueiro AC 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salgueiro AC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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