Municipal Limeno 1-0 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Jan 2024

Municipal Limeno
1-0 HT 1-0
Santa Tecla
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal Limeno v Santa Tecla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 23%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.71/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
-54% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Santa Tecla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-3 HT 1-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
01.10.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
18.04.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
13.02.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
08.11.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
29.08.2021 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno squeezed past Santa Tecla 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal Limeno as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Limeno and 0.83 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla?

Municipal Limeno 1-0 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 54%, draw 24%, Santa Tecla 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Over 2.5
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