Toulouse (K) 1-3 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Toulouse (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) got the better of Toulouse (K) 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Étienne (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Toulouse (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Toulouse (K) 1-3 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Étienne (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Toulouse (K) 34%, draw 23%, Saint-Étienne (K) 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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