14/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Bretigny Foot vs Ivry Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
44%
29%
Draw
30%
27%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bretigny Foot v Ivry — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bretigny Foot
The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ivry
The Market 30%
+38% /
+38%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
368 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
314 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bretigny Foot vs Ivry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bretigny Foot and Ivry shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Bretigny Foot at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bretigny Foot vs Ivry?
Bretigny Foot 1-1 Ivry in the France - National League 3 on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bretigny Foot vs Ivry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bretigny Foot win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bretigny Foot 44%, draw 29%, Ivry 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bretigny Foot), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Bretigny Foot)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
14 Jan 2024