14/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Assad vs Kisumu All Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
45%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
34%
32%
Draw
29%
33%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Assad v Kisumu All Stars — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Assad
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kisumu All Stars
The Market 40%
-58% /
-58%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
+4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
324 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Assad vs Kisumu All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Assad beat Kisumu All Stars 2-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Assad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Assad vs Kisumu All Stars?
Assad 2-0 Kisumu All Stars in the Kenya - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Assad vs Kisumu All Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Assad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Assad 35%, draw 32%, Kisumu All Stars 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Assad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Assad)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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14 Jan 2024