Kajiado 0-3 Nairobi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
49%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kajiado The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi United The Market 28%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kajiado vs Nairobi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nairobi United swept aside Kajiado 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kajiado at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Kajiado vs Nairobi United?

Kajiado 0-3 Nairobi United in the Kenya - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kajiado vs Nairobi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kajiado win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kajiado 44%, draw 27%, Nairobi United 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kajiado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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