Luanda Villa 1-1 Vihiga Bullets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
Over
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1
46%
2-3
32%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
64%
-19.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
11%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luanda Villa The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Vihiga Bullets The Market 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.50
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Luanda Villa vs Vihiga Bullets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luanda Villa and Vihiga Bullets couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Luanda Villa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Luanda Villa vs Vihiga Bullets?

Luanda Villa 1-1 Vihiga Bullets in the Kenya - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luanda Villa vs Vihiga Bullets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luanda Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Luanda Villa 45%, draw 28%, Vihiga Bullets 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luanda Villa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luanda Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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