14/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Rainbow vs Gusii Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
37%
4-5
32%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
10%
2/2
44%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
4%
17%
Draw
10%
54%
Away Win
86%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rainbow v Gusii — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rainbow
The Market 6%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gusii
The Market 91%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
34%
Ball Possession
66%
7
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
7
217 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
495 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Rainbow vs Gusii
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rainbow got the better of Gusii 3-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gusii at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Rainbow vs Gusii?
Rainbow 3-1 Gusii in the Kenya - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rainbow vs Gusii?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gusii win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rainbow 29%, draw 17%, Gusii 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gusii), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gusii)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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14 Jan 2024