Gavilanes FC Matamoros 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gavilanes FC Matamoros EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gavilanes FC Matamoros ran out comfortable winners over Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gavilanes FC Matamoros as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Gavilanes FC Matamoros 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gavilanes FC Matamoros win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gavilanes FC Matamoros 57%, draw 20%, Mineros de Zacatecas 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gavilanes FC Matamoros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gavilanes FC Matamoros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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