Sunrise 2-1 Police FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunrise The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Police FC The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
296 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunrise
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Police FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4 Corners 7
20.08.2023 Police FC Police FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Sunrise RUA
POST-MATCH Sunrise vs Police FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunrise edged past Police FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Police FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Sunrise vs Police FC?

Sunrise 2-1 Police FC in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunrise vs Police FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Police FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sunrise 33%, draw 24%, Police FC 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Police FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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