Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-3 Ankara Demirspor — Result, Stats & Model Review (Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 14 Jan 2024)

Karacabey Belediye Spor

1-3 HT 0-3

Ankara Demirspor

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗

Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup – 2023/2024

Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankara Demirspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

48%

1.86

Draw

27%

3.35

Away

25%

3.71

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58%

1.68

Over 2.5

42%

2.07

Both Teams to Score

Yes

44%

1.99

56%

1.73

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

35%

2-3 Goals

37%

4-5 Goals

19%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

26%

1/2

1/X

X/1

15%

X/2

10%

X/X

10%

2/1

2/2

10%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

48%

Home Win

50%

-1.9pp

27%

Draw

26%

+0.3pp

25%

Away Win

24%

+1.6pp

58%

Under 2.5

56%

+2.2pp

42%

Over 2.5

44%

-2.2pp

44%

BTTS Yes

46%

-1.9pp

56%

BTTS No

54%

+1.9pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karacabey Belediye Spor v Ankara Demirspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 54%

Head to Head

AWAY Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 27%

-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%

2.11/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63

+51% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%

57% Ball Possession 43%

14 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Target 4

6 Corners 3

319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

3.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankara Demirspor Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor

0W-2D-3L

AWAY Ankara Demirspor

1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00

49% Ball Possession 51%

9 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 4

3 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

26.08.2023 Ankara Demirspor

2-1 HT 1-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B

23.04.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor

2-2 HT 2-0

Ankara Demirspor S2-K

20.11.2022 Ankara Demirspor

3-1 HT 2-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-K

25.12.2021 Ankara Demirspor

3-1 HT 2-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B

08.02.2012 Ankara Demirspor

0-0 HT 0-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-3

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-3 Ankara Demirspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor

1-3

AWAY Ankara Demirspor

53% Ball Possession 47%

8 Total Shots 6

5 Shots on Target 4

3 Corners 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankara Demirspor

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor beat Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Karacabey Belediye Spor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 53% of the ball to Ankara Demirspor's 47%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ankara Demirspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 2.00 for Ankara Demirspor.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-3 Ankara Demirspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankara Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 48%, draw 27%, Ankara Demirspor 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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