14/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Virtus vs Tre Penne Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
47%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Tre Penne win — 70% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
POST-MATCH
Virtus vs Tre Penne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tre Penne squeezed past Virtus 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tre Penne as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Virtus vs Tre Penne?
Virtus 1-2 Tre Penne in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus vs Tre Penne?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tre Penne win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Virtus 16%, draw 14%, Tre Penne 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tre Penne), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tre Penne)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
14 Jan 2024