14/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Zanaco vs Trident Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
30%
26%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zanaco v Trident — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zanaco
The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Trident
The Market 48%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-5%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
297 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
374 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zanaco vs Trident
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zanaco edged past Trident 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zanaco as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Zanaco vs Trident?
Zanaco 2-1 Trident in the Zambiya - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zanaco vs Trident?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zanaco win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zanaco 42%, draw 26%, Trident 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zanaco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zanaco)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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