Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.77/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.62
+33% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +88%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-0
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank nicked a narrow win over Mebrat Hayl 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 42% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 58%, shots finished 5-3.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mebrat Hayl?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 43%, draw 26%, Mebrat Hayl 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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