Institute FC 2-3 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
184 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
01.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
12.02.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
20.11.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
10.01.2015 Institute FC Institute FC 5-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Institute FC
2-3
AWAY Loughgall FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC nicked a narrow win over Institute FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Loughgall FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Institute FC had 57% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Institute FC and 1.60 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Loughgall FC?

Institute FC 2-3 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 40%, draw 23%, Loughgall FC 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Institute FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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