Irak U23 vs Avustralya U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Irak U23 v Avustralya U23 — Team-Based Signals
Irak U23 vs Avustralya U23 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Avustralya U23
AFCU23
1-1
HT 0-0
Avustralya U23
AFCU23
Irak U23 1-2 Avustralya U23 — Actual Match Statistics
Avustralya U23 nicked a narrow win over Irak U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Avustralya U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Irak U23 had 48% of the ball to Avustralya U23's 52%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.01 to 1.71.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Irak U23 and 1.00 for Avustralya U23.
What was the final score of Irak U23 vs Avustralya U23?
Irak U23 1-2 Avustralya U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Irak U23 vs Avustralya U23?
Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Irak U23 30%, draw 32%, Avustralya U23 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.