Karvina 0-3 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.51/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.51
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
07.05.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
20.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
24.07.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-2 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
02.05.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
23.12.2020 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
0-3
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.60 xG 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
238 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karvina vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice swept aside Karvina 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karvina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Karvina had 46% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 54%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.60 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karvina and 2.00 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs FK Pardubice?

Karvina 0-3 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karvina 41%, draw 25%, FK Pardubice 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
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