Basel II 2-0 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
58%
Away Win
56%
+2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel II EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 60%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.17/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.79
+67% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +73%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.05.2023 Basel II Basel II 1-1 HT 1-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
29.10.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 4-1 HT 3-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
20.04.2022 Basel II Basel II 1-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
09.10.2021 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel II
2-0
AWAY Etoile Carouge
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Basel II vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel II got the better of Etoile Carouge 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Etoile Carouge at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basel II had 41% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 59%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basel II and 2.00 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Basel II vs Etoile Carouge?

Basel II 2-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel II vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Basel II 25%, draw 18%, Etoile Carouge 58%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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