Sampdoria (K) 1-3 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
203 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-3
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.66 xG 2.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 10
139 Passes 279
57% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) saw off Sampdoria (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 39% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 61%, shots finished 9-27, expected goals 0.66 to 2.12.

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-3 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 29%, draw 30%, AC Milan (K) 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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