JS Soualem 3-1 Wydad Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
50%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
22.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
50%
Away Win
63%
-13.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JS Soualem EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Casablanca EU Bookmakers 67%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
0.89/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.69
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JS Soualem
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
20.06.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 3-1 HT 1-0 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
22.01.2023 JS Soualem JS Soualem 0-1 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
19.06.2022 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 3-0 HT 1-0 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
19.11.2021 JS Soualem JS Soualem 3-4 HT 1-2 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JS Soualem
3-1
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JS Soualem vs Wydad Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Soualem beat Wydad Casablanca 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wydad Casablanca at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JS Soualem had 32% of the ball to Wydad Casablanca's 68%, shots finished 6-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wydad Casablanca led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for JS Soualem and 2.40 for Wydad Casablanca.

What was the final score of JS Soualem vs Wydad Casablanca?

JS Soualem 3-1 Wydad Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JS Soualem vs Wydad Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JS Soualem 22%, draw 28%, Wydad Casablanca 50%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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