Marumo Gallants 1-0 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.18/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.06
-5% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Venda FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.12.2023 Venda FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-0
AWAY Venda FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants squeezed past Venda FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marumo Gallants as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 50% of the ball to Venda FC's 50%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Venda FC?

Marumo Gallants 1-0 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 44%, draw 31%, Venda FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marumo Gallants), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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