FC Goa 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
7%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 35% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.99
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.7 Crosses 14.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 249
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
28.12.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
20.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
15.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
29.12.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
17.01.2021 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
0-1
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.49 xG 0.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 0
338 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan edged past FC Goa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day ATK Mohun Bagan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Goa had 53% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 47%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Goa and 1.33 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

FC Goa 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 36%, draw 27%, ATK Mohun Bagan 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →