14/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
KF Grobina vs FA Siauliai Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
47%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
58%
26%
Draw
24%
31%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KF Grobina v FA Siauliai — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KF Grobina
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
FA Siauliai
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
484 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
KF Grobina vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FA Siauliai saw off KF Grobina 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was KF Grobina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of KF Grobina vs FA Siauliai?
KF Grobina 0-2 FA Siauliai in the Friendlies on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KF Grobina vs FA Siauliai?
Before kick-off our model rated a KF Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KF Grobina 44%, draw 26%, FA Siauliai 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KF Grobina) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (KF Grobina)
✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
14 Feb 2024