Ajax (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 14 Feb 2024

Ajax (K)
5-1 HT 3-0
Heerenveen (K)
📅14/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Ajax (K) vs Heerenveen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.98
Over 2.5
70%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
85%
-9.8pp
12%
Draw
9%
+3.2pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
30%
-0.2pp
70%
Over 2.5
70%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax (K) v Heerenveen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
3.66/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Ajax (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
5-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
80% Ball Possession 20%
32 Total Shots 2
18 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) swept aside Heerenveen (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 80% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 20%, shots finished 32-2.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Ajax (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 75%, draw 12%, Heerenveen (K) 13%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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