Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
38%
2.63
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.26
Over 2.5
27%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.62
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
11%
9.92
6+ Goals
5%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
38%
Draw
35%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.0pp
73%
Under 2.5
76%
-2.9pp
27%
Over 2.5
24%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.32/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.98
-66% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
10.09.2023 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
06.02.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
13.09.2022 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
11.03.2022 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-1 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
06.11.2021 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Kheybar Khorramabad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad edged past Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 38% / 29%) promised a tight game; Kheybar Khorramabad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kheybar Khorramabad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 0.80 for Kheybar Khorramabad.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad in the Iran - Azadegan League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 33%, draw 38%, Kheybar Khorramabad 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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