Soroksar 1-3 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Soroksar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.16
+20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Soroksar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ajka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
30.07.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 1-0 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
02.04.2023 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 1-0 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
05.10.2022 Soroksar Soroksar 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
01.05.2022 Soroksar Soroksar 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
21.11.2021 Ajka Ajka 1-2 HT 1-0 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
02.05.2021 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 1-1 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Soroksar
1-3
AWAY Ajka
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Soroksar vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka beat Soroksar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ajka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Soroksar had 56% of the ball to Ajka's 44%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Soroksar and 1.33 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Soroksar vs Ajka?

Soroksar 1-3 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Soroksar vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Soroksar win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Soroksar 34%, draw 34%, Ajka 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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