Al Mokawloon 0-1 ENPPI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY ENPPI EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.20/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.07
-23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.6 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ENPPI
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.89 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 211
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
15.12.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 3-2 HT 1-2 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
15.05.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-2 HT 1-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
30.10.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
28.06.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
30.01.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-1 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
0-1
AWAY ENPPI
1.30 xG 0.35
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
444 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs ENPPI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI nicked a narrow win over Al Mokawloon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; ENPPI found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 62% of the ball to ENPPI's 38%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.35 — on chances, Al Mokawloon could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 1.83 for ENPPI.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs ENPPI?

Al Mokawloon 0-1 ENPPI in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs ENPPI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 35%, draw 29%, ENPPI 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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