Vizela U23 4-3 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-45% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
4-3
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 edged past Gil Vicente U23 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Vizela U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 50% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 50%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Vizela U23 4-3 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 36%, draw 31%, Gil Vicente U23 33%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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