14/02/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Al Sahel vs Al-Saqer Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
44%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Al-Saqer win — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
20%
Home Win
6%
22%
Draw
13%
58%
Away Win
81%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sahel v Al-Saqer — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Sahel
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Saqer
The Market 85%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
36%
Ball Possession
64%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
7
192 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
549 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Sahel vs Al-Saqer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Sahel saw off Al-Saqer 2-0.
This one beat our numbers. Al-Saqer carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Sahel vs Al-Saqer?
Al Sahel 2-0 Al-Saqer in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sahel vs Al-Saqer?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Saqer win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Sahel 20%, draw 22%, Al-Saqer 58%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al-Saqer) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al-Saqer)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →