Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thai Port FC v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals
Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Thai Port FC
TAY
2-3
HT 2-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
0-0
HT 0-0
Thai Port FC
TAY
2-1
HT 1-0
Thai Port FC
TAY
1-0
HT 1-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
Thai Port FC 4-3 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics
Thai Port FC squeezed past Muang Thong United 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Thai Port FC had 59% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 41%, shots finished 17-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.20 for Muang Thong United.
What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United?
Thai Port FC 4-3 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 28%, draw 29%, Muang Thong United 43%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.