Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 26% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.09
1/2
8%
23.4
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
11%
6.61
X/2
11%
5.61
X/X
12%
5.27
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
19%
3.17
2/X
6%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.9pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.77/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.70
+30% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
17.2 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chelsea
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
474 Passes 369
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea FAK
28.09.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 4-2 HT 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
03.12.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 3-2 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.09.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNLK
23.07.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 4-3 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3-0
AWAY Chelsea
1.42 xG 0.54
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 9
251 Passes 664
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 26
3 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion cruised past Chelsea 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Brighton & Hove Albion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 31% of the ball to Chelsea's 69%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 2.50 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 38%, draw 25%, Chelsea 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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