AIK 1-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.75/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.66
-16% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
473 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
444 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
20.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
18.09.2022 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
26.06.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
27.09.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
12.04.2021 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
1-1
AWAY Degerfors
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AIK vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK and Degerfors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AIK at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AIK had 50% of the ball to Degerfors's 50%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AIK and 1.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of AIK vs Degerfors?

AIK 1-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Cup on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AIK 52%, draw 27%, Degerfors 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AIK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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