Malkiya 1-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

Malkiya
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Ahli Manama
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2024/2025

Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 37% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malkiya v Al Ahli Manama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
0.14/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.24
-88% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.04.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
10.12.2020 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
21.11.2020 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-4 HT 0-2 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK

Malkiya 1-1 Al Ahli Manama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
1-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya and Al Ahli Manama shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Malkiya had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 54%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malkiya had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malkiya and 0.67 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Malkiya 1-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 32%, draw 29%, Al Ahli Manama 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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