Paris FC (K) 4-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.5pp
17%
Draw
8%
+9.0pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.41/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/3.56
-3% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -57%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
20.6 Crosses 6.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 148
74% Pass Accuracy 57%
36 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
11.11.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-6 HT 1-3 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
4-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
2.34 xG 0.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
481 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 3
17 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) cruised past Saint-Étienne (K) 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 63% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 37%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.34 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Paris FC (K) and 1.00 for Saint-Étienne (K).

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Paris FC (K) 4-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 71%, draw 17%, Saint-Étienne (K) 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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