Marquense 2-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.3pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.04/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.63
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2024 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
26.08.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 3-0 HT 2-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense squeezed past Achuapa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Achuapa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marquense and 1.50 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Achuapa?

Marquense 2-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Marquense 52%, draw 22%, Achuapa 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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