Kolombiya U20 3-1 Şili U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 26% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya U20 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.30/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.83
+38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
13.6 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Şili U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
20.01.2015 Şili U20 Şili U20 0-3 HT 0-1 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya U20
3-1
AWAY Şili U20
2.55 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
260 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kolombiya U20 vs Şili U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya U20 beat Şili U20 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kolombiya U20 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kolombiya U20 had 51% of the ball to Şili U20's 49%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.55 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Kolombiya U20 vs Şili U20?

Kolombiya U20 3-1 Şili U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya U20 vs Şili U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya U20 48%, draw 29%, Şili U20 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya U20), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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